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Mr. Dolan's
is a professional reporter located in the Middle East. For
those of us who neither live there nor understand a biblical perspective
for the timeline rooted in events related to Israel, then this report begins
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SHALOM FROM JERUSALEM!
Below is my latest monthly news and analysis report, written for the CFI
ministry in the UK and for all of you subscribers. Although it was
thankfully a
relatively quiet month here in Israel, there were several warning signs
that
serious trouble may lie ahead as the Palestinians prepare to declare
unilateral
statehood in September amid escalating upheaval in nearby Syria, and the
prospect of an IDF attack upon Iran’s nuclear program, which according to
an ex-
CIA official is also being planned for September. All of the details are
below.
Like everyone around the world, I was shocked by the mass killings in
Norway
last Friday. I’ve been to that beautiful country four or five times, and
always
enjoyed my stay and meetings there in Oslo and on the west coast. I want
to
share my condolences with all of my friends and readers there, as I have
with
several Norwegians who live here in Jerusalem. The fact that the confessed
killer apparently espouses neo-Nazi views and could carry out such a
heinous
plot did not really surprise me---I dealt with that sort of thing in my
native
Idaho in the 1970s, as detailed in my first book, Holy War for the Promised
Land.
Speaking of America, I’ve written a whimsical commentary about a clash
going on
between two congressional representatives who come from South Florida,
where I
was mugged. It’s based on an actual experience I had when I goggled their
addresses to see if either one represents the area where I was attacked in
April, only to find their district dividing line runs right down the middle
of
the road where I was struck! When I wrote to one of them, I got a message
saying due to heavy email volume, she could only receive my note if I live
in
her district! So I put in the zip code from where I had been staying, and
the
result was as I wrote in the article. Particularly if you live in North
America, you might enjoy reading it on my web site, www.ddolan.com. I’ll
also
submit it to WorldNetDaily, but don’t think they usually run satirical
commentaries.
I do want to deeply thank the many who wrote very kind notes after reading
my
mugging account, which is also posted on my site and elsewhere. I was
especially gratified to receive about ten messages from people saying they
were
also hosting a “pity party” at the time they read it, and it helped put
their
problems into perspective.
*******************************************************************
FLOTILLA FAILS AS DOMESTIC ISSUES TAKE FRONT AND CENTER
By David Dolan
July began in Israel as it does all too many months—with government
officials
and the media focused on a pending crisis situation with dire international
ramifications. The issue this time was the planned multi-ship flotilla
designed
to aggressively challenge Israel’s naval blockade of the Hamas-ruled Gaza
Strip.
Instead, the flotilla foundered due to direct intervention from Greece, a
country that had been decidedly anti-Israel in its foreign policy until
recent
years. Instead, the national news was dominated by several domestic issues
that
mirrored some of the things which helped spark the so-called ‘Arab Spring’
revolts in a number of regional Muslim countries. Among them was the
growing
lack of affordable housing in Israel, where prices have soared in recent
years,
fast-rising food and utility prices, and low wages which set off an
escalating
work strike by doctors and other medical personnel that disrupted normal
services at Israel’s hospitals and some clinics.
While a tiny remnant of the planned flotilla did manage later in the month
to
make its way close to Israel’s territorial waters before being peacefully
intercepted by IDF naval vessels, the real issue at sea was a dispute with
Lebanon over the exact territorial boundaries between the two neighboring
countries. The dispute provoked more threatening words from the
Iranian-backed
Shiite Hizbullah movement, even as reports circulated that the militia was
rapidly removing its stored weapons from nearby Syria as the internal
crisis
there intensified. Israeli military forces remained on extra high alert as
the
escalating public revolt and fierce Assad family regime counter-crackdown
spread
to the Syrian capital, Damascus. This came as a former CIA official
claimed
that Israel will launch a military assault against Iran’s burgeoning
nuclear
production program this coming September, saying the United States
government is
aware of this and busy preparing for it.
Israeli leaders kept up their public opposition to the Palestinian
Authority’s
planned September declaration of statehood at the United Nations in New
York.
Meanwhile the relative calm of recent months along the Gaza Strip border
was
shattered as a series of rockets and mortar shells were fired into Israeli
territory, prompting return IDF military action. At the same time, an
opinion
survey was released showing that most Palestinians see the so-called “Two
State
Solution” as merely a springboard for further violent assaults upon Israel,
ending with the country’s ultimate annihilation.
SINKING THE FLOTILLA
The Israeli Foreign Ministry celebrated a rare international victory during
July
as the long anticipated multi-national ship flotilla was successfully
prevented
from sailing towards Israeli coastal waters. Amid widespread fears that
the
planned Freedom II flotilla might provoke another violent IDF clash at sea
with
some of the participating ships, as happened the end of May last year, the
relief was palpable in Israeli government circles. It was widely
acknowledged
that a major international diplomatic campaign launched by the Foreign
Ministry
some months ago to prevent the hostile attempt to break the Israeli Gaza
Strip
naval blockade was the sole reason that the ships—which included ones
dubbed The
Audacity of Hope from the United States, the Freedom from Ireland and the
Tahrir
from Canada—had the wind knocked out of their sails.
The fact that diplomatic relations with Greece have dramatically improved
over
the past three years played a crucial role in the success of the Israeli
flotilla prevention campaign. It was the government in Athens, led by
Prime
Minister George Papandreou, which prevented the provocative ten-boat
flotilla
from departing the Greek port of Piraeus where the ships were docked
(originally
many more ships than that were expected to participate, but the numbers
dropped
to just ten after several countries announced in recent months that they
would
prevent announced sailings from their national ports).
When the new flotilla plan was first unveiled earlier this year, the
various
participating human rights and aid groups and individual activists were
hoping
to once again set off from Turkey, a Muslim country which had sadly morphed
from
one of Israel’s closest regional allies to a near enemy under the
leadership of
Prime Minister Recep Erdogan. However, Turkish officials asked the
Hamas-backed
organizers to move their departure location after national elections were
announced for mid-June (won by Erdogan’s party), to prevent the flotilla
from
becoming an issue in the Turkish campaign. The choice of Greece as a
replacement flotilla staging country proved to be the death knell that
Israeli
officials were hoping and working hard for.
Israeli diplomats at the United Nations and in various international
capitals
argued successfully that no country on earth would allow foreign ships
carrying
un-inspected cargo to sail into the main seaport of a neighboring hostile
entity
that is known to be smuggling in weapons for use against it. That the
organizers claimed they would only be bringing in harmless aid cargo made
no
difference, they noted, since only previous inspection could confirm this.
They
added that under universally-recognized international law, Israel has the
legal
right to blockade the Gaza Strip since regular armed attacks are launched
from
the area upon Israeli civilian and military targets. Echoing Prime
Minister
Binyamin Netanyahu’s repeated public statements, the diplomats added that
Israel
would gladly allow any non-threatening cargo to be transported to the Gaza
Strip
from its own ports (as eventually occurred last year) if ship captains
simply
requested permission to dock in them. They also pointed out that under the
new
military regime currently ruling Egypt, any legitimate aid cargo could also
be
easily passed along to Gaza Strip residents via the southern Gaza border
crossings from the Egyptian-ruled Sinai Peninsula.
In other words, the Freedom II flotilla was nothing more than yet another
attempt by various foreign individuals and groups openly hostile toward
Israel
to score worldwide propaganda points on behalf of a terrorist body
supported by
Iran, Syria, Hizbullah, Al Qaida, the Muslim Brotherhood and other regional
lights. This reality was evidently accepted by most Western leaders whose
flagged ships and citizens were due to take part in the provocative and
unnecessary “aid” flotilla.
In the end, one lone ship did make the voyage three weeks later on July
19—a
French yacht dubbed the Dignity for the sailing. Traversing Greek waters
after
falsely claiming to be heading for Cyprus, the small vessel carried a mere
17
pro-Hamas activists on board. Originally flotilla organizers had boasted
that
around 1,500 people would take part in the planned multi-ship sailing.
Israeli
naval commandos attempted to negotiate with the yacht’s captain, telling
him
they would gladly help guide the ship to either an Egyptian or Israeli port
where the cargo could be inspected and then passed along to the Gaza Strip.
After the offers were flatly refused, the commandos boarded the boat
without
resistance from the 17 activists, who were then taken to Ashdod Port just a
few
miles north of the Gaza Strip (itself the occasional target of
Iranian-supplied
Grad missiles fired by Hamas and Islamic Jihad militiamen).
There was a rather silly sideshow to this thwarted drama during the
month—an
operation dubbed Flytilla by the Israeli media. Frustrated flotilla
organizers
announced that if they could not steam into Israeli-patrolled coastal
waters due
to Greek intervention, they would instead fly into Ben Gurion airport and
then
head to Palestinian Authority-controlled territory north and south of
Jerusalem
to ‘show solidarity’ with the Palestinians residing there. Analysts noted
the
irony in this plan since the Palestinian Authority is still struggling to
reach
a consensus with the rival Hamas movement which is demanding that its
candidate
become PA prime minister in the yet to be created new ‘unity’ government.
In
the event, just over 120 people even made it onto jets carrying passengers
to
Tel Aviv and Eilat after officials in Jerusalem issued lists of many
hundreds of
known anti-Israel activists they warned would not be allowed to enter the
country, prompting various airlines to keep those people off of their
aircraft
in accordance with international aviation rules.
FRESH THREATS FROM LEBANON
Three Israeli petroleum companies that are involved with American and other
foreign partners to develop huge natural gas fields discovered in recent
years
off of northern Israel’s Mediterranean coast revealed on July 21 that
substantial new deposits have recently been identified under the seafloor.
While this would normally be a cause for great rejoicing in Israel, the
reality
is that the off-shore gas fields are already becoming another major source
of
friction between Israel and its northern neighbor, Lebanon. Officials in
Beirut
claim that some of the deposits lie under their rightful territorial
waters, not
Israel’s. Israeli government and military leaders had already expressed
concerns that oil drilling platforms to be erected in the area might be
subject
to physical sabotage from Syrian submarines and ships which operate in the
area
from their port base of Latakia, where Russian vessels are also stationed.
The latest dispute with Lebanon began to fester after Israel signed a
maritime
territorial accord with the Greek-speaking government ruling most of
divided
Cyprus last December. Apparently seeing yet another opportunity to bash
the
hated “Zionist entity,” the radical Shiite Hizbullah movement, which now
effectively governs Lebanon via its new proxy Prime Minister, Nijab Mitaki,
launched a fierce verbal blast against Israel over the issue on July 14—the
fifth anniversary of the start of Hizbullah’s horrendous three week missile
blitz launched against northern Israel. Speaking via Hizbullah’s Manar
television network, deputy leader Naim Qassem firmly rejected Israeli and
American offers to help map out mutually acceptable maritime boundaries.
Instead, he threatened war, proclaiming that “Lebanon will remain vigilant
in
order to regain its full rights, whatever it takes.” He said that
so-called “Israeli threats do not frighten us,” adding surreally that “Israel knows
its
threats fall on deaf ears in Lebanon after it tasted the bitter taste of
the
powerful Lebanese resistance,” an apparent reference to the 2006 conflict
which
Hizbullah started and neither side clearly won.
Later in the month, the Lebanese government signed a “memorandum of
understanding” with Iran to jointly develop any oil and gas deposits that
are
discovered inside Lebanese territorial waters. Israeli officials say the
prospect of Iranian petroleum personnel poking around the area near to
where
Israel’s huge natural gas deposits are located is unsettling, to say the
least.
The memorandum came as the United Nations special representative to
Lebanon,
Michael Williams, told reporters that the small Arab country is at least
seven
years behind Israel in development of its natural offshore oil and gas
deposits.
He urged the Mitaki government to pass laws which would allow foreign
companies
to begin drilling in the area forthwith.
The UN official’s remarks came just weeks after the world body announced
that
its special committee looking into the 2005 assassination of pro-Western
Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri had issued indictments against four
Lebanese suspects connected to the extremist Shiite movement. The
indictments,
which were firmly rejected by Hizbullah leaders, have markedly increased
political tensions in the Land of the Cedars, with some Israeli analysts
saying
it was probably next in line to join the violent “Arab Spring” upheaval
still
gripping many countries in the tense region as the hot summer months roll
on.
Former Prime Minister Saad Hariri, son of the late slain leader who was
himself
ousted from power in a bloodless Hizbullah coup last spring, warned that
“these
people stand accused, and they must be put on trial.”
CRISIS ESCALATES IN SYRIA
Amid continuing Arab and international media reports stating that both
Hizbullah
militiamen and Iranian Revolutionary Guard forces are actively aiding the
rogue
Syrian Assad family regime to brutally suppress the massive popular
uprising
sweeping that country, reports emerged that Hizbullah has been rushing its
stored weapons out of Syria in case the regime is finally forced out of
power.
Israeli media reports say surveillance satellites have photographed dozens
of
trucks ferrying Iranian and Syrian-supplied missiles and other heavy
weaponry
across the border in recent weeks. Included were said to be at least eight
missiles similar to the Scuds fired by Saddam Hussein at Israeli coastal
targets
in 1991. Western Middle East experts say the collapse of the Assad regime
would
probably spell the end of Hizbullah’s dominance of Lebanon, since it relies
heavily on the neighboring Syrian dictatorship dominated by the Alawite
sect, a
Muslim sub-group that emerged from Shiite Islam, for its political
dominance in
Beirut.
With some international human rights groups now estimating that well over
2,000
Syrians have been killed so far in the intensifying popular revolt, most of
them
protestors, the despotic Assad regime stepped up its violent repression
against
the spreading uprising, which ominously moved to the capital Damascus for
the
first time in mid-July. After relatively tepid remarks calling upon
autocratic
officials to curb their deadly military operations against their own
people, the
American administration finally began to issue stern warnings to Assad that
the
vile slaughters would not be allowed to continue unanswered by the
international
community. Officials in Washington were especially angry when Assad
unleashed
his goons to attack both the American and French embassies in Damascus
after
those country’s ambassadors to Syria visited protest camps in the western
city
of Homs. While hardly the unleashing of NATO warplanes such as is
occurring in
Libya, the apparent show of solidarity was obviously too much for the
ruthless
Assad and his family cohorts who have lorded it over Syria for many
decades.
Israeli analysts said the embassy attacks demonstrated that the
totalitarian
Syrian regime is turning increasingly desperate as the uprising escalates.
Noting that Assad commands one of the largest standing armies in the world
and
produces copious amounts of deadly VX and Sarin nerve gas stored in several
of
the cities currently under military siege, they warned that the crisis has
now
escalated to the point where the dictatorship may order military strikes
upon
Israeli targets as a diversionary tactic meant to unite his mostly Sunni
Muslim
subjects behind him. Such attacks would most likely be launched by Assad’s
surrogate Hizbullah forces, they added, giving rise to extra concerns over
the
reports that fully-assembled SCUD-type missiles are now streaming into
Lebanon.
At the same time, the Israeli analysts also questioned the popular media
characterization of the Syrian protesters as being “pro-democracy,” instead
terming most of them as “anti-Assad” Muslims who would like a Sunni Islamic
regime to replace the current Alawite one. Either way, they remain bitter
opponents of Israel, as Assad understands and may attempt to manipulate to
Israel’s peril.
Officials in neighboring Jordan were said to be increasingly concerned over
a
growing flood of Syrian refugees seeking shelter in their small country.
After
being forced to absorb hundreds of thousand of Iraqis fleeing warfare and
violence in that neighboring country, nervous Jordanian leaders don’t need
any
more apples to upset the delicate applecart that is their small country.
Israeli leaders are said to be concerned that some of the “refugees” might
in
fact be Syrian government and Iranian agents entering Jordan with the
ultimate
purpose of further destabilizing the pro-Western government in Amman and/or
launching terrorist attacks upon Israeli embassy personnel stationed there.
LOOMING WAR WITH IRAN?
Claims by an ex-CIA official that Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu is
planning
to launch a military strike upon Iran’s burgeoning nuclear program in
September
received widespread media attention in Israel. The mid-July comments were
made
by retired CIA officer Robert Baer during an interview he gave to a Los
Angeles
radio station. He said Israeli leaders especially want to target the large
Natanz nuclear facility where Iran has recently stepped up its uranium
enrichment program—a key component in the development of nuclear weapons.
While
refusing to pinpoint exactly what his startling prediction was based upon,
he
did state that Pentagon brass have “issued a warning order” to US military
leaders located around the Middle East to prepare for possible
counter-attacks
from the Shiite Iranian regime against American targets in Iraq and other
regional locations.
Baer, who operated out of US embassies in Damascus, Beirut and other
regional
countries for over 21 years, maintained that Netanyahu wants to draw the
United
States into any conflict that erupts as a result of its difficult military
operation. He cited remarks made earlier in the month by former Mossad
chief
Meir Dagan, who warned Israeli government leaders that an IDF strike could
spark
off a much larger war involving Iran’s allies Syria, Lebanon and Hamas.
Baer
claimed this indicated that Dagan is aware of a concrete plan to launch
such an
operation in the near term. He said the September date was likely since
the
Palestinian Authority is planning to make its unilateral statehood
declaration
late in the month at the United Nation’s world headquarters in Manhattan,
which
could spark off violence in the Palestinian street. Netanyahu’s office
offered
no comment on the ex-CIA official’s broadcast comments.
Meanwhile the head of Israel’s Homa Missile Defense Agency, Uzi Rubin, told
reporters that Iran has now overtaken North Korea in the development and
production of long range ballistic missiles that can reach all of Israel
and
southeast Europe. Citing several recent test firings from Iranian soil, he
said
some of the missiles have been passed on to Iranian Revolutionary Guards
stationed with Hizbullah forces in Lebanon. Rubin expressed special
concern
over the Fateh-110 ballistic rocket which operates with a sophisticated
laser
guidance system and can target ships at sea from very long distances. He
said
up until now, Iran was only known to possess more traditional cruise
anti-ship
missiles that fly parallel to ocean waters.
Writing in the Jerusalem Post’s weekly magazine, Israeli columnist Dovid
Efune
said that the regional unrest currently gripping many Arab countries
actually
provides the perfect backdrop for an IDF strike on Iran’s threatening
nuclear
program. Citing a Wall Street Journal report in early July detailing the
growing use of Iranian weapons against dwindling American forces operating
in
Iraq, he opined that the US administration might be more open that many
believe
to an Israeli operation that would effectively reduce Iran’s military
capabilities. Further than that, Efune wrote that many Israeli government
and
military leaders are not afraid of a wider conflict with the Iranian regime
and
its allies, seeing it as anyway inevitable at some point and the only way
to
finally deal with hostile Hizbullah and Hamas forces, if not with the
besieged
Syrian regime.
GAZA ROCKETS AIMED AGAIN AT ISRAEL
After several months of relative calm, a slew of Palestinian rockets and
mortar
shells were fired at Israeli civilian targets beginning in mid-July.
Several
landed close to the large coastal city of Ashkelon, which has often been
targeted in the past. The firings prompted renewed IDF air strikes upon
rocket
firing militiamen and Hamas outposts, killing a number of Palestinian
fighters
in the process. The action came as the Arab League officially endorsed the
Palestinian Authority’s announcement that it will declare unilateral
statehood
at the UN the second half of September, a move opposed by Israel, the
United
States, Germany and other countries but supported by over 100 UN member
states.
Anticipating stepped up Palestinian violence in the run-up and aftermath of
the
planned one-sided declaration; the IDF has increased its acquisition of non-
lethal riot suppression equipment, including tear gas, rubber bullets and
protective plastic shields. Media reports detailing the growing IDF
preparations came as an opinion poll conducted by pro-peace Jewish American
and
Palestinian groups revealed that two-thirds of all Palestinians still
support
the 1974 PLO “Phased Plan,” which stated that any land captured by, or
granted
to the Palestinians be used as a staging ground for further attacks upon
Israel
until the Jewish State is destroyed. To say the least, the results were
not
gratifying to the survey’s Arab and Jewish sponsors.
With tensions mounting as the possibly tumultuous month of September draws
ever
nearer, it is essential to remember, as we pray, that “Blessed is the
nation
whose God is the Lord, the people that He has chosen for His own
inheritance”
(Psalm 33:12).
****************************************************************
DAVID DOLAN is a Jerusalem-based author and journalist who has lived and
worked
in Israel since 1980.
• HOLY WAR FOR THE PROMISED LAND (Broadman & Holman), his latest book, is
an overview of the history of the Israel and of the bitter Arab-Israeli
conflict
that rages there, plus some autobiographical details about the author’s
experiences living in the land since 1980. It especially examines the
important
role that militant Islam plays in the conflict.
• ISRAEL IN CRISIS: WHAT LIES AHEAD? (Baker/Revell), which examines the
political and biblical prospects for a regional attack upon Israel,
settlement
in the disputed territories, and related topics, is also available for
purchase,
along with an updated edition of his popular end-time novel, THE END OF
DAYS
(21st Century Press).
• David Dolan is currently finishing his new novel, which is titled
MILLENNIUM: THE LORD REIGNS.
You may order these books at a special discount price by visiting his web
site
at www.ddolan.com, or by phoning toll free 888-890-6938 in North America,
or by
e mail at: resources@yourisraelconnection.org. To schedule David Dolan for
a
speaking engagement, e mail alohashalom@gmail.com
DOLAN'S NATIONALLY TELEVISED DVD, "FOR ZION'S SAKE" is also available for
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